After thinking about it, I have decided last week's lows are within 5% of the market's ultimate bottom.  Obviously, I think there is a good chance of another downward movement.  Nevertheless, I am seeing signs that I find encouraging.  In particular,  the market seems to realize many financial services companies are priced (from an equity perspective) at a low percentage of their book value.  Indeed, many of them are priced as if they are automatically going out of business – even if their operating units are making money.
Tomorrow: My moves explained.
 
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